President Joe Biden's shocking announcement last Sunday marked the end of his re-election bid, setting the stage for Vice President Kamala Harris to become the likely candidate for the Democratic ticket in the upcoming election.
With many wondering whom Harris will select as a running mate, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted from July 19 to 22 reveals no clear favorite among Democrats for the role.
The poll indicates a significant portion of Democrats remain uncertain, with 30% of respondents indicating they are "not sure" and 6% preferring "none of the above." Among the leading candidates, California Gov. Gavin Newsom enjoys 30% approval, followed by Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 25%, and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer close behind at 24%. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro also holds 24% approval, with Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly rounding out the top contenders at 18%.
Newsom emerges as a popular choice among Democrats, garnering 30% approval. Newsom, a vocal critic of former President Donald Trump and a national figure for anti-Trump liberals, has an appealing profile. However, sources indicate he is not currently being vetted, raising questions about his actual chances of securing the vice-presidential slot.
Despite his leadership in a large and influential state, there are concerns about the optics of having two Californians on the ticket. Additionally, past incidents, such as a controversial pandemic-era dinner at French Laundry, may present issues.
Buttigieg follows closely with 25% approval. Known for his Midwestern roots and continuity with the Biden administration, Buttigieg has maintained a strong national profile through numerous television appearances. Although his Indiana roots may not shift the state towards the Democrats, Buttigieg remains a viable, possibly even strategic choice, albeit with potential criticism from Republican circles.
Whitmer stands at 24% approval, despite her public declarations of disinterest in the role. Whitmer, a key figure in a critical swing state, has reportedly submitted vetting documents at the request of Harris's campaign, suggesting she remains a serious candidate.
The governor's success in the 2022 midterms boosts her appeal; however, there are concerns about the potential ramifications of an all-female ticket. Harris appears inclined toward selecting a running mate with a different profile to balance the ticket.
Similarly positioned with 24% approval, Shapiro is actively being vetted and seems open to the possibility. Shapiro's significant victory in Pennsylvania, combined with his practical governance and popularity, makes him a strong contender.
Kelly, with an 18% approval rating, adds an interesting dynamic to Harris's potential vice-presidential picks. Kelly's impressive background and focus on immigration could strengthen Harris's stance on key issues, yet his relatively low national profile and Arizona’s political risks might outweigh his advantages.
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear enjoys 15% approval and confirms he is undergoing vetting. Beshear's popularity in a predominantly Republican state may provide a strategic advantage, though it is unlikely Kentucky will swing Democratic in the election, potentially limiting his broader impact. North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, with 11% approval, is reportedly being considered. Cooper’s moderate stance could appeal to a wide range of voters, especially in a swing state like North Carolina. However, his age and the succession implications with his lieutenant governor could present challenges.
Other individuals mentioned include Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, who has not yet been asked for vetting materials but remains open to a call. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is indeed being vetted and expresses his willingness to take on the role if chosen. Cedric Richmond, a senior advisor to Biden, was taken aback by the consideration but voiced his readiness to assist Harris in any capacity necessary.
As the Democratic ticket takes shape, each potential running mate brings unique strengths and weaknesses. Harris's decision will reflect a blend of strategic calculation and personal inclination. Her selection could significantly impact the Democratic campaign's direction and voter appeal in the upcoming election. In the coming weeks, Harris will need to weigh each candidate's contributions against potential drawbacks to make her final choice. The poll’s mixed results underscore the diversity of opinion within the Democratic Party and the complex nature of this critical decision.
